Predictions

Elon Musk's net worth has crossed $1 trillion.

“Elon Musk is now the world's first trillionaire.”

On the back of the SpaceX IPO, Elon Musk has become the world's first trillionaire.

“By day three, SpaceX was briefly worth more than Amazon. Elon Musk is now the world's first trillionaire.”

SpaceX completed the largest IPO in American history this week, opening at $150/share with an ~11% pop.

“SpaceX went public this week. After years of waiting, the largest IPO in American history finally landed, opening at one hundred and fifty dollars a share, an eleven percent jump from its offering price, and climbing from there.”

A new US-Iran nuclear deal has been agreed and will be formally signed Friday (June 19) in Geneva by VP JD Vance and Iran's parliament leader, with terms already published by Iranian media.

“The signing is gonna be Friday in Geneva. Uh, J.D. Vance, MB Galabaf will be signing this together. MB Galabaf, Iran parliament's leader, J.D. Vance, vice president.”

Trump's claim of an imminent US-Iran nuclear deal signing is bluster; no real deal will actually be signed in the near term.

“Now, time will tell if Vance is sent somewhere to, I don't know, sign something. Who knows? But as of right now, there's just no evidence to point to that.”

Elon Musk will become the world's first trillionaire, aided by the SpaceX IPO.

“...having his SpaceX IPO launch on Friday, and he's gonna be the first trillionaire, and they don't wanna screw that up.”

Anthropic has confidentially filed for an IPO and is expected to go public in the current IPO wave.

“Anthropic has filed confidentially for its own offering.”

OpenAI is targeting a September 2026 IPO.

“Anthropic has filed confidentially for its own offering. OpenAI is targeting September.”

SpaceX is going public today (June 12, 2026) in what is described as the largest IPO in history, raising ~$75B.

“SpaceX goes public today, raising seventy-five billion dollars in what is now officially the largest IPO in history, more than double Saudi Aramco's twenty nineteen record.”

SpaceX will go public (IPO) in 2026.

“SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are all set to go public this year at a combined valuation of roughly four trillion dollars.”

OpenAI will go public (IPO) in 2026.

“SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are all set to go public this year at a combined valuation of roughly four trillion dollars.”

PK Subban predicts the Vegas Golden Knights will beat the Carolina Hurricanes and win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup, taking the Final in six games.

“I got Vegas winning this thing in six.”

Alastair talks up Andy Burnham as a credible successor to Starmer, saying Burnham has charisma and has grown in the Manchester mayoralty and would bring something Starmer lacks.

“it's difficult for me not to believe that Burnham's got a certain vim, charisma, and he's really grown in this role of Mayor of Greater Manchester, and he will bring something to the job that Starmer hasn't got.”

Russert calls Gavin Newsom the current frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, taking him over the field.

“I find Gavin to be the front runner right now on the Democratic side, until someone knocks him out... I've put Gavin as the front runner Democratic side.”

Miller argues that if Democrats are ever going to win the Iowa Senate seat back, 2026 is the year, with Turek facing Republican Ashley Hinson, though he concedes it will be a tough race.

“if you're gonna win Iowa back again as a Democrat, this is the year, given everything that's happening economically and all the crazy stuff in the White House”

Russert predicts the New York Knicks will beat the San Antonio Spurs in the 2026 NBA Finals in six games.

“I'm gonna go Knicks in six. I think the Knicks can create some matchup problems for San Antonio.”

Anthropic has confidentially filed for an IPO with the SEC; the hosts treat an Anthropic public offering as imminent.

“Anthropic just confidentially filed its IPO with the SEC. It has not disclosed the size or terms of the offering.”

If Starmer is replaced, an Andy Burnham-style 'change' candidate from outside the cabinet is the most credible internal Labour pick — analogous to Boris Johnson succeeding Theresa May.

“The only one really who can, I think, credibly say change is probably Andy Burnham... maybe in that story, it's an Andy Burnham figure who isn't in Parliament, who's a mayor like Boris Johnson was a mayor, coming to that.”

On the current trajectory, Nigel Farage and Reform UK are positioned to win the next UK general election, with Labour collapsing and the Tories also failing.

“If I were to be had a gun to my head, who's gonna win the next general election, on the current trajectory, I might point to Nigel Farage. Equally, I can see lots of ways that he can be brought down.”

Keir Starmer will survive the cabinet pressure today and remain Prime Minister through the immediate confidence crisis — he'll 'Joe Biden it' rather than step down now.

“Yeah, I think he'll definitely be prime minister by the end of the day. I think he's gonna Joe Biden it. I just think the problem is we're so clearly now into the when is he gonna go, not if he's gonna go.”

If Starmer falls, Wes Streeting is the leadership contender best positioned to satisfy bond markets and emerge as the next UK PM, given his growth-focused agenda versus Rayner's tax-hike pitch or Burnham's public-ownership instincts.

“The bond markets wouldn't like Rayner and they wouldn't like Burnham, but Streeting might get through... the bond markets are gonna be happier with Streeting's ideas for growth.”

The Trump DOJ's investigations into figures like Jerome Powell are intimidation theater; they will not actually charge or convict the Federal Reserve chair.

“They don't, they don't expect to charge or convict, uh, the chair of the Federal Reserve. They, they don't care. Right? ... The process is their weapon.”

The Supreme Court is likely to duck the merits of Louisiana's challenge to FDA telehealth/mail-order mifepristone rules by ruling Louisiana lacks standing, so no nationwide restrictions on mail-order mifepristone will take effect in the immediate term.

“It's very possible that, you know, once again, they sort of duck the heart of the issue on abortion, on federal power versus state power, and they just say, 'Nah, you don't have standing.'”

NPR's Tamara Keith notes that observers expect China may announce additional Boeing aircraft purchases during Trump's Beijing visit this week, though she caveats that announced agreements on Trump foreign trips often turn out to be less than meets the eye.

“Observers expect China to announce purchases of additional soybeans and other farm products, and maybe even Boeing airplanes... More than a dozen big name corporate executives are traveling as part of the US delegation, including Apple's Tim Cook, Tesla's Elon Musk, and Kelly Ortberg, the CEO of Boeing.”

NPR's Tamara Keith reports that observers expect China to announce additional purchases of U.S. soybeans and other farm products during Trump's state visit to Beijing this week.

“Observers expect China to announce purchases of additional soybeans and other farm products, and maybe even Boeing airplanes. Announcing big purchase agreements is a trademark of Trump foreign trips, but these things have often turned out to be less than meets the eye.”

NPR's Scott Horsley predicts the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at its next meeting, since the April jobs report showed no labor-market deterioration and the Fed has limited ability to address an energy supply shock.

“We might see a rate cut if it looked as if the job market were falling apart, but the jobs report we got last week showed no sign of that... So for now, I think the Fed is likely to just keep interest rates steady where they are.”

Donald Trump will publicly announce Chinese commitments to purchase U.S. soybeans/agricultural products during his China trip.

“China will likely promise to increase purchases of American agricultural products and Boeing aircraft as a result of the Trump-Xi summit.”

Donald Trump will publicly announce Chinese commitments to purchase Boeing aircraft during his China trip.

“China will likely promise to increase purchases of American agricultural products and Boeing aircraft as a result of the Trump-Xi summit.”

The Federal Reserve will not reduce interest rates due to the economic fallout from the Iran conflict.

“interest rates will not be reduced due to the economic fallout and debt increases from the ongoing conflict”

The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at its June 2026 meeting following the high inflation report.

“investors started the year talking about potential rate cuts by the Fed, and this report pretty much takes that all off the table.”

The Detroit Pistons will win their playoff series against the Cleveland Cavaliers.

“For me personally, listen, I'm still buying the Pistons because I think that on their home turf they're a different beast to deal with.”

The Cleveland Cavaliers will win their playoff series against the Detroit Pistons.

“Cam, I'm, I'm gonna go with Cleveland here. Like I said earlier when we picked who I thought was gonna win the series, I think, I think people are starting to figure out Cade Cunningham and all the styles in which they have, and Detroit looks tired.”

The Detroit Pistons will defeat the Cleveland Cavaliers to win their current playoff series.

“Right now I'm still going with the Pistons. Everybody did what they're supposed to do. Nobody has won on the road yet, so I'm still going with the Pistons.”

SpaceX will hold an initial public offering in June.

“SpaceX is of course preparing to go public with one of the largest IPO offerings in June.”

The Oklahoma City Thunder will sweep the Los Angeles Lakers in four games.

“they're gonna steamroll the Lakers, four games, and then, um, I don't know. They, the, the playoffs don't start for the Thunder until the conference finals.”

The Detroit Pistons will win their playoff series against the Cleveland Cavaliers.

“I would take the Pistons in this series, but I, I, I'm, I'm down for James Harden to maybe get into a game six or seven.”

The Memphis Grizzlies will select Cam Boozer with the third overall pick in the NBA Draft.

“If you put my head on a guillotine today, I'd tell you they take Boozer, but I wanna watch this whole thing play out.”

The New York Knicks and Detroit Pistons will meet in the Eastern Conference Finals.

“I think it will eventually be New York and Detroit, and go look at those games this year. Detroit pumped them out.”

AJ Dybantsa will be drafted first overall, and Darryn Peterson will be drafted second overall by the Utah Jazz.

“I think the expectation is is that, right? That Banso will go one, Peterson will go two, because they don't need a four in Utah.”

The Sacramento Kings will trade up to the number five pick to draft Darius Acuff.

“I think they're gonna try to trade up. I think they're gonna try to get to five and get Acuff. I really do.”

The Boston Celtics are the favorites to acquire Giannis Antetokounmpo in a trade.

“I would say the Celtics are probably, probably the favorite at this point to get Giannis, unless Dallas got aggressive.”

The Washington Wizards will select AJ Dybantsa with the number one overall pick in the NBA Draft.

“The Wizards are not calling anybody, Tate... The Wizards' phone is sitting here waiting. Yeah, they're taking AJ”

Israel and Hezbollah are still fighting after the MOU and the conflict will continue in tit-for-tat fashion rather than resolving into peace.

“we already see a lot of signs that, uh, Israel and Hezbollah are still fighting. Israel killed a few people earlier today in Hezbollah. This is another one of kind of Iran's red lines around the MOU, so I'm incredibly worried about that.”

The US-Iran agreement is only a memorandum of understanding, not an actual nuclear deal; a real deal is not yet in place and faces a 60-day negotiating window.

“It's not even a deal. It's a memorandum of understanding that has future discussions about frameworks in the future, whatever.”

The Strait of Hormuz will be fully reopened and running at full capacity, with the administration claiming victory once it is.

“you just know when the strait is fully open and accessible and, and running at full capacity, they're gonna spike the football.”

With the Iran framework reached, the Strait of Hormuz blockade will be lifted and shipping traffic will reopen imminently.

“we can work towards that perhaps, but it's not gonna go from, you know, sixty to zero, right, uh, when this reopens tomorrow or when the blockade gets lifted.”

After a dominant 4-0 win over Paraguay, the USMNT is playing great and will handle Australia next, implying the US advances out of World Cup Group D.

“So now we get Australia and the Socceroos. No problem. We're- We're so good ... I- We're so [laughs] fucking good at soccer.”

Under the new Iran deal the US naval blockade is lifted immediately and the Strait of Hormuz reopens to traffic within thirty days.

“reopening the Strait of Hormuz within thirty days under Iranian arrangements. Iran and Oman control, uh, the, the shipping lanes in the Strait of Hormuz.”

Iran's IRGC has no incentive to make a deal, so the US and Iran will not reach a new nuclear agreement in 2026.

“I see almost no reason that the IRGC would want a deal right now. I think they feel like we can have total and complete victory.”

Anthropic will go public (IPO) in 2026.

“SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are all set to go public this year at a combined valuation of roughly four trillion dollars.”

Once the War Powers Resolution clears both chambers and reaches Trump's desk, Trump will veto it.

“Then it goes to Donald Trump's desk. I think Donald Trump will veto it. He has the ability to veto it.”

Swisher says Democrat Graham Platner, the presumptive nominee, has a real chance of unseating Republican Susan Collins and is leading in recent Maine polls.

“Platner appears to be the real chance of u-unseating Republican Susan Collins and, uh, which is the zombie of all senators. He's been leading in recent polls.”

Anthropic has passed OpenAI in valuation and filed its IPO first, positioning it to go public before OpenAI does.

“Anthropic hit a major milestone last week, passing OpenAI to become the most valuable AI startup in the world.”

Galloway predicts one or more of the dominant AI stocks will fall 40-70%, which would crater the AI-heavy market indices.

“one or more of these stocks is gonna be off forty to seventy percent... these companies are overvalued. The technology will survive. These valuations won't.”

Galloway predicts the overvalued AI and mega-cap stocks will eventually crash and drag the US and global economy into a recession.

“one or more of these stocks is gonna be off forty to seventy percent, and it's gonna send the US and the global economy into a recession. The US has become a giant bet on AI, and these companies are overvalued.”

Top oil executives at ExxonMobil and Chevron predict that with the Strait of Hormuz blocked, world oil supplies are depleting and will get very low, causing big spikes in oil prices within two to three weeks.

“they're saying that with the strait being blocked, the world's oil supplies are depleting, and they're about to get really low, which could mean big spikes in the price of oil within, like, two to three weeks”

The U.S. federal budget deficit will exceed two trillion dollars this year, and interest on the debt will be more than one trillion dollars this year.

“The federal budget deficit is expected to be over two trillion dollars this year based on Trump's budget... interest on the debt will be more than one trillion dollars this year.”

Women on the right who are reacting to anti-women rhetoric in the MAGA movement will turn against Republicans in the 2026 midterms or the 2028 election.

“they're not just turning a blind eye to this, and it's going to impact them, whether in the midterms or, you know, 2028.”

It is a certainty Keir Starmer cannot win the next general election; the only question is when, not if, Labour replaces him.

“If like me you believe it's a certainty that Keir Starmer can't win the next election, a certainty, I mean, the guy's net popularity rating is hovering around minus fifty.”

Trump will not back a federal abortion ban; his administration is sticking with a states-only framework despite anti-abortion lobbying from groups like Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America.

“When Marjorie went to Trump and said, 'Hey, we need federal action. I need you to get on board,' the answer that she got was, 'No, this issue is killing us.'”

China will NOT announce acceptance of imported Nvidia H200 chips during the Trump-Xi summit.

“China will not announce the acceptance of imported Nvidia H200 chips during the upcoming Trump-Xi summit.”

Democrats will take control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterms despite Republican redistricting gains.

“Democrats won the House popular vote by eight in 2018. So if we're thinking and hoping and expecting this cycle to be better than 2018, then we should have no problem in the House.”

The New York Knicks will win their next playoff series, benefiting from their extended rest period.

“I think ultimately, you know, the way these playoffs have been kind of every other night... the accumulation of games and the miles on the odometer of the other teams are gonna be too much for them to overcome... I think they take care of business.”

If the Montreal Canadiens take a 3-1 series lead, they will successfully close out the series against the Buffalo Sabres.

“if Montreal takes a 3-1 series lead, there's, I, I think they're gonna close that thing out and they're, they're gonna move on to Car- play Carolina.”

LeBron James will retire or leave the Lakers, making this his final game for the franchise.

“I think the golfing, the golf bug might have convinced LeBron James to, to forgo another full year in the NBA... This is his last game for the Lakers.”

The Detroit Pistons will defeat the Cleveland Cavaliers in five games in their playoff series.

“I do not believe the Cavaliers are gonna beat the Pistons. I, I just- I, I, I have Detroit in, uh, five. I think they win game four and game five.”